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  • Telecom Trends You Can't Ignore
  • Today's Kids: A Window to the Telecom Future
  • Wireless Broadband: Big Loser, Niche Player, or Big Winner?
  • Communications Convergence: Promises and Pitfalls Along the Way
  • The Local Exchange Network in 2015: Step Into the Future
  • Transforming the Local Exchange Network
  • Technology Forecasting for Telecom: An Overview for Everyone


Future | Technology


Lawrence Vanston, Ph.D. is an internationally recognized authority on technology forecasting for the telecommunications industry. As president of Technology Futures, Inc., he has conducted and managed future-looking studies of the telecom and other high-tech industries for more than 20 years. His current research and consulting interests include broadband, wireless, IP video, VoIP, and convergence. His research reports and forecasts are used and referenced extensively by managers and professionals worldwide. An expert on the impact of technology change on equipment depreciation and valuation, he frequently serves as an expert witness in regulatory, tax, and legal proceedings.

Since 1985, Dr. Vanston has been the director and principal author of a number of ongoing reports commissioned by the Telecommunications Technology Forecasting Group (TTFG), which is comprised of AT&T, Bell Canada, Qwest, and Verizon. Topics have ranged from Internet access requirements to the impact of wireless communications. The flagship TFI/TTFG publication, Tansforming the Local Exchange Network,in its third edition. Dr. Vanston is a popular speaker on the future of telecommunications and its significance to organizations and people. Some of the prestigious programs he has spoken at include the IIR Telecom Market Forecasting in Portugal, Broadband Tax Institute Conference, iHollywood's Triple Play: Voice, Video, Data, Wichita Program for Appraisal for Ad Valorem Taxation, International Communications Forecasting Conference, and the Society of Depreciation Professionals Conference. He directs TFI's popular seminars on technology forecasting for the telecommunications industry. He was honored as Outstanding Speaker of the Year by attendees of the 11th Annual International Communications Forecasting Conference.

Dr. Vanston's views and the results of his research are regularly cited by general business and industry publications including Telephony, America's Network, Fiber Optic Technology, Lightwave Wired, and Broadband Properties. The Wall Street Journal featured him in an in-depth interview entitled "Consultant's Call: Lawrence Vanston Makes Some Pretty Bold Predictions for the Future of Telecommunications. He Has Been Right Before." Notably, the predictions therein have come true as well.

Before joining Technology Futures in 1984, Dr. Vanston spent four years with Bell Labs and Bellcore in network planning where he proposed and evaluated potential new long distance, billing, access, and data services. Prior to that, he was with the Texas Petroleum Research Committee and the Center for Energy Studies at the University of Texas at Austin. His academic achievements include a B.A. in government (1975) and an M.S. (1977) and Ph.D. (1979) in operations research and industrial engineering, all from the University of Texas at Austin.

BOOKS    Search For A Book

  • Introduction to Technology Market Forecasting
  • Forecasts of Access Line Competition in the Local Exchange
  • The Local Exchange Network in 2015
  • Forecasts for Higher Bandwidth Broadband Services
  • The Impacts of Competition and Technology on Local Exchange Outside Plant Assets
  • Depreciation Lives for Fiber Optic Cables in the Local Exchange
  • The Impacts of Competition and Technology on Local Exchange Switching Assets
  • Technology Forecasts for Local Exchange Switching Equipment

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